Browsing All Posts published on »January, 2015«

The Social Barrier

January 30, 2015 by

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“Collective fear stimulates herd instinct, and tends to produce ferocity toward those who are not regarded as members of the herd.” ― Bertrand Russell, Unpopular Essays One of the white lies that we like to tell ourselves is that what happens on the field of play is a fair an accurate determination not only of […]

The All World Team (non-USA edition that is)

January 28, 2015 by

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“Why don’t they take their ass-whuppin like people and go home? …. We’re gonna have a little revenge in our hearts, for ’72 and ’88, but David (Robinson) can’t say that, because he’s a Christian.” -Charles Barkley The Dream Team A friend of the blog (and a great follow on twitter Daniel Leroux) was apparently […]

The Rudy Gay Rule

January 27, 2015 by

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“Love looks not with the eyes, but with the mind, And therefore is winged Cupid painted blind.” – William Shakespeare A Midsummer Night’s Dream  One of the things , I consider an unique (and pleasant) feature in my life is that I’m constantly getting smart and interesting basketball questions from very smart people. Questions, you […]

The Fair Line Application

January 23, 2015 by

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You may be noticing that I’m spending a lot of time getting some of my toys out there. There is a definite plan. I know you’re expecting projections. What if I made an app to project out the fair line based on daily updating power rankings? That would be cool! I could run the fair […]

The Hidden Variable

January 22, 2015 by

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(Editor’s note: this is a companion piece to a video prepared by Coach Nick. It’ll be over at bballbreakdown soon. You get a sneak peek because I like you.) “Random chance plays a huge part in everybody’s life.” – Gary Gygax When we talk about sports, we spend a lot of time and energy arguing […]

A little something for my DFS Playing Friends

January 21, 2015 by

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Here is a little something that might be relevant to the interests of those of you playing Daily Fantasy games. Interactive NBA DFS Tool for 2014/15 Feel free to comment any improvement or data you might like to see. -Arturo

A Podcast and Testing some new apps

January 20, 2015 by

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Have I got a treat for you all. First, I did a nice long podcast with Daniel Leroux for Real GM. Then I did a final beta cut at a player rating tool. It updates every day too. Enjoy! -Arturo  

Simulating the Week for 1/19/15 thru 1/23/15

January 19, 2015 by

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Hope you’re having a fun time on MLK day. First the ranks: The current mood in Atlanta: Here’s the previous projections: Projection #1 (1/02 thru 1/04) Projection #2 (1/05 thru 1/09) Projection #3 (1/09 thru 1/11) Projection #4 (1/12 thru 1/16) Projection #5 (1/12 thru 1/16) The results so far look like: Some Numbers Now Previous Delta Model Straight […]

The Rankings and Projections for 1/16, a few toys and links

January 16, 2015 by

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I’m not doing a full rankings post today. The reason for this is that I’ve been rather busy. First I helped coach Nick put together the first episode of what will be an ongoing weekly MVP review. I also continue to work on the Team Breakdown tool (check it out, it’s updated). There may also […]

An Interactive Team Breakdown

January 14, 2015 by

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I am building some stuff today and I have some very neat toolsupcoming. For today, you all get to be my guinea pigs. Here’s an interactive Team Breakdown that I’m developing.  The intent is to have a web page  with this kind of tool put together in short order. Please not that this tool can show […]

The Best Ball Big Threes 1986/87 thru 2013/14

January 13, 2015 by

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I like making beautiful and informative things. A few days ago, I cribbed the idea of a best ball MVP (The Wilt) from Bill Simmons’ weekly NFL column who cribbed it from a reader, who cribbed it from rugby’s Brownlow Medal.  The basic idea is that we give out point to the three players for every single game […]

Simulating the Week for 1/12/15 thru 1/16/15

January 12, 2015 by

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Bit short on time today. So not a lot of chit-chat. First the ranks:   Now the individual game sim. Here’s the previous projections: Projection #1 (1/02 thru 1/04) Projection #2 (1/05 thru 1/09) Projection #3 (1/09 thru 1/11) The results so far look like: Some Numbers Model Straight Win Loss 63.3% Just pick the Home team […]

The Rankings and the Projection for 01/09/2015

January 9, 2015 by

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It’s all really a numbers game. The amount of time I spend every day processing basketball data moves from about 15 minutes to about 2 hours a day like a sine wave. As time creeps by and I add newer and better tools (I hope), that numbers moves up. Once it reaches critical mass, I […]

How taking a Josh Smith is good for your digestion

January 8, 2015 by

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Arturo takes a deep dive into the impact of releasing Josh Smith and finds some truly historic numbers.

Introducing the Wilt Best Ball MVP

January 7, 2015 by

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Where I take a great idea from Bill Simmons and introduce the NBA's version of the Best Ball MVP The Wilt

The Drilldown: Is Andrew Wiggins getting it?

January 5, 2015 by

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Some of you will notice that I’ve been ramping up my output. One of the reasons for that is that I’m writing using the tools I’ve built for my own personal daily use. When someone makes a point based on a limited amount of available data I like to use my own tools and data […]

Simulating the Week 1/05/2015 thru 1/09/2015

January 5, 2015 by

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As you might be aware, I simulate every game using my Power Rankings every time I run the power rankings so I can generate a predicted season result. I’ve decided that I might do this more often as an experiment. Tentatively, I will be running this post on Mondays (projecting the games thru Friday) and Friday’s […]

Simulating the Games for 1/2/2015 thru 1/4/2015

January 2, 2015 by

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As you might be aware, I simulate every game using my Power Rankings every time I run the power rankings so I can generate a predicted season result. As of today that result looks like so: One thing that I thought might be interesting to some of you out there is if I published the actual […]

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