Simulating the Week for 1/19/15 thru 1/23/15

Posted on 01/19/2015 by

0



Hope you’re having a fun time on MLK day.

First the ranks:

Power Rank

The current mood in Atlanta:

Here’s the previous projections:

Projection #1 (1/02 thru 1/04)

Projection #2 (1/05 thru 1/09)

Projection #3 (1/09 thru 1/11)

Projection #4 (1/12 thru 1/16)

Projection #5 (1/12 thru 1/16)

The results so far look like:

Some Numbers Now Previous Delta
Model Straight Win Loss 61.4% 61.17% 0.25%
Just pick the Home team Win Loss 50.8% 52.94% -2.15%
Model edge 10.6% 8.22% 2.40%
Home team average Error -1.7 -1.00639 -0.7
Road Team average Error 1.7 1.006393 0.7
Standard Deviation 12.9 12.50634 0.4

And Home teams are not doing well.

Remember this is for science and recreational purposes only of course. I take no responsibility for any possible losses. For wins, I simply ask that you buy a beer if you see me at Sloan.

Here’s the week’s projected point margins:

Game Projection

 

Enjoy.

-Arturo

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