2019 NBA Draft Preview: A Lion in Zion

June 19, 2019
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“even as it is written, Behold, I lay in Zion a stone of stumbling and a rock of offence: And he that believeth on him shall not be put to shame.” ― Romans 9:33 I never expected Anthony Davis to lose his spot at the top of my all time prospect draft rankings. So imagine […]

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2018 NBA Draft Preview: My name is Luka

January 27, 2019
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“Fly you fools” ― J.R.R. Tolkien, The Fellowship of the Ring   Some times we like to get cute. We like to think we know better than the crowd or the experts. We want to go against the norm. Sometimes that feeling is right. This is not one of those times. Luka Doncic, at 19 […]

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2017 NBA Draft Ratings

January 27, 2019
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Just a short post with the draft ratings. May add more later. Here’s a link to a visual interactive version of this. Tableau Visual for 2017 Draft Note this is an extremely deep NCAA draft class. Taking a flier on unknown internationals here is foolhardy. Euros/Internationals I have data for: DE #14: Frank Ntilikina (PG, […]

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The 2015 NBA Draft Preview

January 27, 2019
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“A wizard is never late, nor is he early. He arrives precisely when he means to.” -J.R.R. Tolkien I’ve been away for a while. However, I was not about to let the draft happen and not put up the preview. That would have been a travesty. If you’re new here, welcome. An fabulous and detailed […]

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The Playoff game Recaps thru 4/20: The Trick of the East

January 27, 2019
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“We don’t give a shit about it” – Masai Ujiri on Paul Pierce You may have noticed that all the Playoffs stats are working (basically, everything but the fair line app and I’m working on that one). This will allow me to walk thru all the games and update the odds as we go along […]

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The 2015 NBA Playoff Preview

January 27, 2019
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“Come, Watson, come!” he cried. The game is afoot.” ― Arthur Conan Doyle, The Adventures of Sherlock Holmes Let’s set the mood first.   I’m 25% more pumped each time I watch that. I’m late with the article this year but I got all the numbers up before the bell. Here’s the proof. Here’s the […]

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The Protagonists: A Visual Playoff preview teaser

January 27, 2019
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“All the world’s a stage, and all the men and women merely players: they have their exits and their entrances; and one man in his time plays many parts, his acts being seven ages.” -William Shakespeare I’ve been a little bit busy recently.   It has been fruitful though. This and a few unplanned events […]

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The Stumbling Grizzlies

January 27, 2019
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“This is the way the world ends Not with a bang but a whimper.” ― T.S. Eliot (Note: all data thru games of 3/29/15) I did not like the Memphis Grizzlies chances before the season. Specifically, I wrote: “The big question for Memphis is whether the last two years were the last, best shot for their current core […]

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The Penultimate Power Rankings

January 27, 2019
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“There is no real ending. It’s just the place where you stop the story.” ― Frank Herbert The end of the regular season is just around the corner and I decided now was as good a time as any to get some of my thoughts down. This isn’t a full power rankings post or the […]

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The Cheater’s 2015 NCAA Tournament Preview

January 27, 2019
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“I know I have plenty of enemies, but I’d rather be the most hated winning coach in the country than the most popular losing one.” — Adolph Rupp, legendary Kentucky basketball coach Welcome to my fourth annual all-signing, all-dancing NCAA men’s basketball tournament preview. For those of you who are joining us for the first […]

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2015 NCAA Big Man on Campus

January 27, 2019
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Diane: How would you characterize “The Great Gatsby”? Thornton Melon: He was… uh… great! – Back to School I always cover the NCAA a certain way. I’m not a huge fan of the college game. I’ve said this before. .@DrewDinkmeyer @TommygDFS NCAA bball is: 1.exploiting the players 2.ugly slow ball 3. Worse on a talent […]

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The End of an Era?

January 27, 2019
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“Time is a drug. Too much of it kills you.” ― Terry Pratchett, Small Gods This post isn’t really about the numbers. As you get older, the frequency of days that break your heart trends inexorably upward. My favorite author, Terry Pratchett, passed away yesterday from complications related to Alzheimer’s. I wasn’t anywhere close to […]

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The Wrong Guys Part 1

January 27, 2019
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“Now, you listen here: ‘e’s not the Messiah, ‘e’s a very naughty boy! Now, go away!” -Monty Python’s Life of Brian There are years in sports were every major award and the race leading up to it makes me groan. We have this annoying tendency to miss the obvious. Humans, particularly in crowds, have an […]

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NBA Power Rankings for 3/6: The Return of the King

January 27, 2019
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“Oft hope is born when all is forlorn.” ― J.R.R. Tolkien, The Return of the King (Editor’s note: The rankings are thru 3/05. Games of 3/06 will be referred to though) It got dark there for a while in Cleveland. When I did the power rankings in January, the Cavs were all the way down […]

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Sam Hinkie and the Paradigm Shift

January 27, 2019
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Originally Published 2015/02/26 5:16:21 pm (and I like to look back on it) “What is essential in war is victory, not prolonged operations.” – Sun Tzu, The Art of War The Sixers, and their unconventional methods, have ignited some strong conflicting feelings within my circle of basketball friends. There is one very skeptical group that […]

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The Tragedy of Derrick Rose

January 27, 2019
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“They live unwoo’d and unrespected fade, Die to themselves. Sweet roses do not so; Of their sweet deaths are sweetest odours made: And so of you, beauteous and lovely youth, When that shall fade, my verse distills your truth. “ -Shakespeare Sonnet 54 This is a piece I knew I was going to have to […]

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The MVP Illusion Part 3: The Short Supply of Tall People

January 27, 2019
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“The NBA keeps adding teams but the short supply of tall people—yes, we love saying this—persists. There is only one Shaquille O’Neal. No matter what policies the NBA adopts, they cannot manufacture quality big men for every team. This rule doesn’t just apply to players like Shaq, but to smaller players like Michael Jordan. There […]

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The MVP Illusion Part 2: Let Kobe be Kobe

January 27, 2019
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“The Electric Monk was a labour-saving device, like a dishwasher or a video recorder… Electric Monks believed things for you, thus saving you what was becoming an increasingly onerous task, that of believing all the things the world expected you to believe.” ― Douglas Adams, Dirk Gently’s Holistic Detective Agency Yesterday we started down the […]

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The MVP illusion part 1: The Bloom is off the Rose

January 27, 2019
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“Reality is merely an illusion, albeit a very persistent one.” – Albert Einstein One of the really interesting things that comes up when doing a metric to measure public perception is how often what we perceive has little to no correlation to the actual truth. We are terrible at being unbiased observers. The Human brain […]

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The All Star Mid Year Review

January 27, 2019
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“Standing in the middle of the road is very dangerous; you get knocked down by the traffic from both sides.” – attibuted to Margaret Thatcher Middles can be many things. They can be exultant, triumphant and full of hope for the future (Golden State, Milwaukee and Atlanta). They can be uncertain, tentative and full of […]

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The Ratings Game

January 27, 2019
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“Wes: That’s completely uncalled for, Burgundy. You know those rating systems are flawed. They don’t take in account houses that have, uh, more than two television sets and other – other things of that nature. Ron: I guess I have to take you at your word, number two.” -Anchorman, The Legend of Ron Burgundy As […]

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The Impact of Losing Blake for six weeks

January 27, 2019
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I was gardening and doing chores today when the Blake injury news came down. I was actually fixing the cover on my Inverter unit A/C on a ladder when my phone went off in my pocket. It was coach Nick and he wanted to know If I could work out the playoff impact of Blake […]

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NCAA Advanced Stats (Take 1)

February 5, 2015
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I did promise NCAA Player Metrics right? Here you go. These are live thru 2/3/2015 and fully interactive. Let’s give you some screenshots. Best players in the NCAA per minute with at least 150 minutes played: Frank Kaminsky, Willie Cauley-Stein and Jahlil Okafor are our top three per minute players in the NCAA. We have three […]

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NBA Mid-Season Rankings and Report Cards

February 3, 2015
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Jeffrey Goines: There’s no right. There’s no wrong. There’s only popular opinion. -12 Monkeys The season is actually way past the Mid-point. As of the monday after the Super Bowl (02/02/2015, yay Pats!), 723 of the season’s 1230 games are already gone the way of the dodo for 59% completion tally for the 2014/15 season. […]

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The Social Barrier

January 30, 2015
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“Collective fear stimulates herd instinct, and tends to produce ferocity toward those who are not regarded as members of the herd.” ― Bertrand Russell, Unpopular Essays One of the white lies that we like to tell ourselves is that what happens on the field of play is a fair an accurate determination not only of […]

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The All World Team (non-USA edition that is)

January 28, 2015
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“Why don’t they take their ass-whuppin like people and go home? …. We’re gonna have a little revenge in our hearts, for ’72 and ’88, but David (Robinson) can’t say that, because he’s a Christian.” -Charles Barkley The Dream Team A friend of the blog (and a great follow on twitter Daniel Leroux) was apparently […]

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The Rudy Gay Rule

January 27, 2015
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“Love looks not with the eyes, but with the mind, And therefore is winged Cupid painted blind.” – William Shakespeare A Midsummer Night’s Dream  One of the things , I consider an unique (and pleasant) feature in my life is that I’m constantly getting smart and interesting basketball questions from very smart people. Questions, you […]

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The Fair Line Application

January 23, 2015
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You may be noticing that I’m spending a lot of time getting some of my toys out there. There is a definite plan. I know you’re expecting projections. What if I made an app to project out the fair line based on daily updating power rankings? That would be cool! I could run the fair […]

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The Hidden Variable

January 22, 2015
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(Editor’s note: this is a companion piece to a video prepared by Coach Nick. It’ll be over at bballbreakdown soon. You get a sneak peek because I like you.) “Random chance plays a huge part in everybody’s life.” – Gary Gygax When we talk about sports, we spend a lot of time and energy arguing […]

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A little something for my DFS Playing Friends

January 21, 2015
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Here is a little something that might be relevant to the interests of those of you playing Daily Fantasy games. Interactive NBA DFS Tool for 2014/15 Feel free to comment any improvement or data you might like to see. -Arturo

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Arturo's Silly Little Stats by Arturo Galletti is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 3.0 Unported License.

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