Champions and Contenders revisited

Posted on 05/27/2011 by

13



You have to trust the research.

A while back I looked at  Championships Produced and it was cool.

The concept was that winning the championship is about winning in the playoffs. A team needs 16 wins in the playoff to win it all now (and 12 or 15 at different times in the past).

Year Wins to Championship
1978 to 1983 12
1984 to 2002 15
2003 to Now 16

A player’s greatness should be a function of his contribution to winning a championship. His wins. His share of a championship. If I take the Wins Produced by each player in the playoffs and divide it by the wins required to win a title I come up with a nifty little metric : Championships Produced.

Which I then graphed like so:

Dre thought it wasn’t quite right, asked me for the files and did a quick remix and it was also cool.

But it wasn’t quite there yet.

In this one only seasons with >.1 Championships produced and only Players with >.2 Championships Produced are shown. Players with >1 Championships get Gold Fill. Players with >.75 Championships get Silver Fill. Players with >.50 Championships get Bronze Fill. NBA Finalists are in Bold for that Year. NBA Champs are in Blue,Bold and Underlined for that Year.

The simple findings?

  • You need a gold or silver player to win. Full stop.
  • No team wins without a gold or silver player who’s done it before. Magic, Horry, Duncan,Kobe, Manu,Billups, Prince, Rondo did it on the first go but were playing with Kareem, Hakeem,Robinson, Shaq, Duncan,Wallace & Garnett (all bigs). So Howard needs that plus one to get it done (Lebron had it right).

Oh and given those rules the Contenders I identified were:

It was all about Boston,Miami, LA, San Antonio and Dallas.

Orlando and Chicago had some pieces but I don’t think they’re there.

All there in black and white.

Sometimes, I can outsmart myself.

Not a Mark or Reggie fan I suppose (Image courtesy of xkcd.com)

Boxscore post will follow in the AM.

Year Grand Total Apperances Titles Active Player Team Team Count
1995 2.66 10 4 Y Shaquille O’Neal BOS 5
2003 0.94 4 1 Y Kevin Garnett BOS 5
2002 0.87 5 1 Y Paul Pierce BOS 5
2008 0.80 3 1 Y Rajon Rondo BOS 5
2001 0.41 2 1 Y Ray Allen BOS 5
2002 1.54 6 0 Y Jason Kidd DAL 4
2001 1.10 5 0 Y Dirk Nowitzki DAL 4
2000 0.78 4 0 Y Shawn Marion DAL 4
2005 0.26 2 0 Y Jason Terry DAL 4
2001 1.24 5 5 Y Kobe Bryant LAL 4
2008 0.85 3 2 Y Pau Gasol LAL 4
2008 0.65 3 2 Y Lamar Odom LAL 4
2001 0.28 2 5 Y Derek Fisher LAL 4
2002 1.79 6 1 Y Ben Wallace DET 3
2004 0.76 5 1 Y Tayshaun Prince DET 3
2004 0.24 2 1 Y Richard Hamilton DET 3
1999 2.46 9 4 Y Tim Duncan SAS 3
2003 0.84 4 3 Y Manu Ginobili SAS 3
2005 0.22 2 0 Y Antonio McDyess SAS 3
2004 1.25 6 1 Y Chauncey Billups DEN 2
2003 0.25 2 0 Y Kenyon Martin DEN 2
2006 0.32 2 2 Y James Posey IND 2
2004 0.27 2 0 Y Jeff Foster IND 2
2007 1.09 4 0 Y LeBron James MIA 2
2005 0.59 3 1 Y Dwyane Wade MIA 2
2008 0.83 3 0 Y Dwight Howard ORL 2
2001 0.29 2 0 Y Vince Carter ORL 2
2003 0.93 5 0 Y Steve Nash PHO 2
2007 0.32 2 0 Y Jason Richardson PHO 2
2007 0.23 1 0 Y Carlos Boozer CHI 1
2001 0.36 2 0 Y Baron Davis LAC 1
2008 0.24 1 0 Y Chris Paul NOH 1
2005 0.29 2 0 Y Amare Stoudemire NYK 1
1999 0.26 1 0 Y Marcus Camby POR 1
2007 0.41 3 0 Y Deron Williams UTA 1
2009 0.21 1 0 Y Rashard Lewis WAS 1
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