Advanced Playoff Box Scores for 5/22/2011 and the Best for the Playoffs so Far

Posted on 05/22/2011 by


Game 4 just became a must win for Chicago.

The good news for Chicago is that Carlos Boozer finally showed up on offense.

The bad news is that means you have to live with Bosh feasting on Boozer’s bad interior D.

The refs were bad but well within the expectation for Homecourt Advantage.

As for game MVP? The same guy who probably deserved the most votes of the guys playing in the Eastern Conference Finals.

The Should be three time mvp (possibly)

Let’s get to it.

Links now:

Boxscore Explanations in gray:

I’m going to be posting an advanced Box Score during the playoffs after every game.

It contains:

    • Basic information: Player , Team, Game ID (Who,what and when)
    • Classic Stats:Points ,Shots, Offensive Rebounds, Defensive Rebounds,Steals,Blocks, Assists (Because the classics are classics for a reason).
    • Simple spins on classics: % of Team Minutes (player minutes as % of total minutes available), Position (average player position)
    • Possesion and Play stats:
      • Offensive Plays : Field Goal attempts + .434 Free Throw Attempts + Turnovers
      • Usage of Offensive Plays : % of Offensive plays used by player when in the game
    • All the classic Offensive Efficiency stats (and some slightly modded ones):
      • Effective Field Goal %=(FG + 0.5 * 3P) / FGA
      • True Shooting %=Pts / (2 * (FGA + 0.44 * FTA)
      • Points per Shot = Pts/FGA
      • Points per Offensive Play= Pts/Offensive Plays
    • Do it Yourself Offensive Point Margin Stats:
      • Offensive Point Margin: this is the marginal value created by the player per offensive play spent. The calculation is:
        • OPM = (Points per Play for Player- Avg Points per play for Player for League)*Offensive Plays for Player
      • Defensive Point Margin: this is the marginal value surrendered by the player per offensive play spent. The calculation is:
          • DPM = (Points per Play for Opponent- Avg Points per play for Player for League)*Offensive Plays for Opponent. I’m doing this one by position averages per game.
      • Combined Margin: this is just OPM-DPM
      • Rebounding Rates: % of Rebounds on Offense, % of Rebounds on Defense.
      • The Classic Wins Produced stats (explained here) and my own opponent adjusted Wins Produced Stats (explained here). The difference? Classic assumes the opposing player is average. Opponent adjusted goes out and checks by position.

Parking Lot items :

  1. Do DPM based on average points per play for opponent.
  2. Add other advanced metricss (PER,Win Shares,EZPM, etc.)

Remember kids, my tastes are reflected in this (and they may not line up with yours).

I encourage you to comment and make suggestions as the eventual goal is to build an automatic version of this.

The raw data is here as a google doc (updated typically the day after)

The Box-score follows:

Bulls-Heat Game 3

Two guys showed up for the Heat (The King and Bosh), one guy did for Chicago (Boozer). It was as simple as that.

The story for the series so far:

Lebron is owning this series and so is Bosh. Brewer and Bosh are tops for Chicago but Brewer is not playing and Boozer is killing them on D.

The MVP so far is a total no show.

Rondo did better against the Heat on one arm.

How fitting that the series and the season come down to one game for the Bulls and its down to Rose.

What’s in a name indeed.

As a final bonus here’s the total numbers for the Playoffs so far (for every player sorted by Wins Produced and ranked by categories for all players with >15 MP per game):

Funny that Miami and OKC are both carrying 2 of the top 4 and 1 each of the bottom 3.

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