Advanced Playoff Box Scores for 5/13/2011

Posted on 05/14/2011 by

5



My last piece was the lead link on  Wakeup Deadspin today.

The Grizzlies are one game from the Western conference Finals.

What! Cats & Dogs lying together!

Yes Marc one game and right after the penis joke.

Truly something that would have  surprised almost anyone. Well maybe not everyone 🙂

I mean come on. We start Mike Conley at Point Guard! ZBo is our PF! The Hell?!?!?

In honor of the fact that this is the first game seven of what has been an awesome postseason, Here’s the series wrap-up so far:

In a series with 3 all-NBA’ers (Durant,Westbrook and ZBo), James Harden and Marc Gasol have been the best players on the court.The fact that Hollins seems to get that and Brooks doesn’t may lead me to go 3-1 and not 4-0 in 2nd round picks and make the River City rock it out.

Yes, Marc, life is full of surprises.

I’ve said this before and I’ll repeat it now: If Gasol has made the leap for real? Memphis can win it all. After 12 playoff games, that sample is starting to get large.

In my case, Marc, statistical software packages that love the way you are trending.

First the links:

Then the intro & background.

I’m going to be posting an advanced Box Score during the playoffs

It contains:

    • Basic information: Player , Team, Game ID (Who,what and when)
    • Classic Stats:Points ,Shots, Offensive Rebounds, Defensive Rebounds,Steals,Blocks, Assists (Because the classics are classics for a reason).
    • Simple spins on classics: % of Team Minutes (player minutes as % of total minutes available), Position (average player position)
    • Possesion and Play stats:
      • Offensive Plays : Field Goal attempts + .434 Free Throw Attempts + Turnovers
      • Usage of Offensive Plays : % of Offensive plays used by player when in the game
    • All the classic Offensive Efficiency stats (and some slightly modded ones):
      • Effective Field Goal %=(FG + 0.5 * 3P) / FGA
      • True Shooting %=Pts / (2 * (FGA + 0.44 * FTA)
      • Points per Shot = Pts/FGA
      • Points per Offensive Play= Pts/Offensive Plays
    • Do it Yourself Offensive Point Margin Stats:
      • Offensive Point Margin: this is the marginal value created by the player per offensive play spent. The calculation is:
        • OPM = (Points per Play for Player- Avg Points per play for Player for League)*Offensive Plays for Player
      • Defensive Point Margin: this is the marginal value surrendered by the player per offensive play spent. The calculation is:
          • DPM = (Points per Play for Opponent- Avg Points per play for Player for League)*Offensive Plays for Opponent. I’m doing this one by position averages per game.
      • Combined Margin: this is just OPM-DPM
      • Rebounding Rates: % of Rebounds on Offense, % of Rebounds on Defense.
      • The Classic Wins Produced stats (explained here) and my own opponent adjusted Wins Produced Stats (explained here). The difference? Classic assumes the opposing player is average. Opponent adjusted goes out and checks by position.

Parking Lot items :

  1. Do DPM based on average points per play for opponent.
  2. Add other advanced metricss (PER,Win Shares,EZPM, etc.)

Remember kids, my tastes are reflected in this (and they may not line up with yours).

I encourage you to comment and make suggestions as the eventual goal is to build an automatic version of this.

The raw data is here as a google doc (updated, Yay!)

Grizzlies-Thunder Game 6


Zbo, MArc and Mike, Memphis blew OKC out of the water. Harden showed but so did evil Russell Westbrook. It really is sad that Kevin Durant wasn’t available for the Thunder. Oh, wait, that’s him on the wrong end of the tally.

So, I had the Grizzlies winning Round 1 in March. I love Gasol and think they’re dead even with OKC.

Sadly, After all that, I still like OKC in 7. Homecourt Advantage is a bitch.

I'm really, really sorry Marc.

P.S The Marc Gasol images are from: http://surprisedmarcgasol.tumblr.com/

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