Advanced Playoff Box Scores for 4/27/2011

Posted on 04/28/2011 by

5



Two series ended today.

Yes two not three.

But first things first. Go here for the Bulls-Pacers post-mortem. Back already? Good, let’s get this started right.

Here’s the closing numbers for the Heat-Sixers.

Here’s the closing numbers for the Thunder-Nuggets.


Full reviews coming soon.

Intro & Background first.

I’m going to be posting an advanced Box Score during the playoffs

It contains:

    • Basic information: Player , Team, Game ID (Who,what and when)
    • Classic Stats:Points ,Shots, Offensive Rebounds, Defensive Rebounds,Steals,Blocks, Assists (Because the classics are classics for a reason).
    • Simple spins on classics: % of Team Minutes (player minutes as % of total minutes available), Position (average player position)
    • Possesion and Play stats:
      • Offensive Plays : Field Goal attempts + .434 Free Throw Attempts + Turnovers
      • Usage of Offensive Plays : % of Offensive plays used by player when in the game
    • All the classic Offensive Efficiency stats (and some slightly modded ones):
      • Effective Field Goal %=(FG + 0.5 * 3P) / FGA
      • True Shooting %=Pts / (2 * (FGA + 0.44 * FTA)
      • Points per Shot = Pts/FGA
      • Points per Offensive Play= Pts/Offensive Plays
    • Do it Yourself Offensive Point Margin Stats:
      • Offensive Point Margin: this is the marginal value created by the player per offensive play spent. The calculation is:
        • OPM = (Points per Play for Player- Avg Points per play for Player for League)*Offensive Plays for Player
      • Defensive Point Margin: this is the marginal value surrendered by the player per offensive play spent. The calculation is:
          • DPM = (Points per Play for Opponent- Avg Points per play for Player for League)*Offensive Plays for Opponent. I’m doing this one by position averages per game.
      • Combined Margin: this is just OPM-DPM
      • Rebounding Rates: % of Rebounds on Offense, % of Rebounds on Defense.
      • The Classic Wins Produced stats (explained here) and my own opponent adjusted Wins Produced Stats (explained here). The difference? Classic assumes the opposing player is average. Opponent adjusted goes out and checks by position.

Parking Lot items :

  1. Do DPM based on average points per play for opponent.
  2. Add other advanced metricss (PER,Win Shares,EZPM, etc.)

Remember kids, my tastes are reflected in this (and they may not line up with yours).

I encourage you to comment and make suggestions as the eventual goal is to build an automatic version of this.

The raw data is here as a google doc (it’s updated)

And now the games for tonight.

Heat-76ers Game 5


Iggy tried tonight. He tried hard. There simply was too much of the Big two and a Half from Miami. Celtics- Heat.Let’s get ready to rumble.

Good old fashioned Slobberknocker!

Memphis San Antonio Game 5



Z-Bo almost got it done. He almost slew that giant. But Manu and the rest of the big three managed to stave them off. When you’re trying to kill a champ? Make sure you bury that shovel in their chest.

In the end though, you know Memphis is the one who’s getting put over.

Thunder-Nuggets Game 5

The Nuggets co-mvp’s for this game Martin and Westbrook almost got it done but in the end Durant ,Bill Spooner , Scott Foster , Pat Fraher  were just way too much for the Nuggets. I’m glad I’m not a Nuggets fan. 42 to 21 advantage in FTA for the Thunder. A borderline no foul call on a Nene dunk. That horrible baseline reversal. If that happened to the Celts? I might mail bomb the NBA offices.


Here’s the Numbers for everybody thru tonight:


Ray Allen & CFP3 tied for first followed by Dwight, Lebron & Durant. I buy it.

Good night all.

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