Advanced Playoff Box Scores for 4/26/2011

Posted on 04/27/2011 by

3



Yet another series ended today.

Here’s the closing numbers for the Bulls-Pacers.

Full review coming soon.

Intro & Background first.

I’m going to be posting an advanced Box Score during the playoffs

It contains:

    • Basic information: Player , Team, Game ID (Who,what and when)
    • Classic Stats:Points ,Shots, Offensive Rebounds, Defensive Rebounds,Steals,Blocks, Assists (Because the classics are classics for a reason).
    • Simple spins on classics: % of Team Minutes (player minutes as % of total minutes available), Position (average player position)
    • Possesion and Play stats:
      • Offensive Plays : Field Goal attempts + .434 Free Throw Attempts + Turnovers
      • Usage of Offensive Plays : % of Offensive plays used by player when in the game
    • All the classic Offensive Efficiency stats (and some slightly modded ones):
      • Effective Field Goal %=(FG + 0.5 * 3P) / FGA
      • True Shooting %=Pts / (2 * (FGA + 0.44 * FTA)
      • Points per Shot = Pts/FGA
      • Points per Offensive Play= Pts/Offensive Plays
    • Do it Yourself Offensive Point Margin Stats:
      • Offensive Point Margin: this is the marginal value created by the player per offensive play spent. The calculation is:
        • OPM = (Points per Play for Player- Avg Points per play for Player for League)*Offensive Plays for Player
      • Defensive Point Margin: this is the marginal value surrendered by the player per offensive play spent. The calculation is:
          • DPM = (Points per Play for Opponent- Avg Points per play for Player for League)*Offensive Plays for Opponent. I’m doing this one by position averages per game.
      • Combined Margin: this is just OPM-DPM
      • Rebounding Rates: % of Rebounds on Offense, % of Rebounds on Defense.
      • The Classic Wins Produced stats (explained here) and my own opponent adjusted Wins Produced Stats (explained here). The difference? Classic assumes the opposing player is average. Opponent adjusted goes out and checks by position.

Parking Lot items :

  1. Do DPM based on average points per play for opponent.
  2. Add other advanced metricss (PER,Win Shares,EZPM, etc.)

Remember kids, my tastes are reflected in this (and they may not line up with yours).

I encourage you to comment and make suggestions as the eventual goal is to build an automatic version of this.

The raw data is here as a google doc (it’s updated)

And now the games for tonight.

Indiana-Chicago Game 5



The best player in this series did not show up this game. Darren Collinson had an off-night (who did you think I was talking about?). The Best player for the Bulls this series had an awesome night.Noah was great (again where you expeting somebody else).  Luol Deng and Bogans were the big stars though. Now the wait begins.

Now the waiting begins for the Bulls

Orlando-Atlanta Game 5




Magic guards welcome back! The Quad J’s (Jason,JJ & Jameer) got it done. Horford outplayed Dwight but it was a laugher. I still got Orlando winning this series.

Lakers- Hornets Game 5


Fisher pulls his annual one game cameo for the Lakers to bring this series to 3-2 with an able assist from Bynum and the rest of the team . Paul gave it a brave go but 5 on 1 is a tough sport to win (you know every night). I like this one to go seven and the Lakers to win (even if David Stern needs to physically tackle Paul at mid-court during halftime).

Here’s the Numbers for everybody thru tonight:

Ray Allen for the win (so far).

Podcast recorded and coming later.

Did I mention I’m really tired?

Star Wars is closer to V-E day than today. I feel really old.

Good night all.

Advertisements
Posted in: Uncategorized