Advanced Playoff Box Scores for 4/25/2011

Posted on 04/26/2011 by

0



Let’s start with an end and a beginning.

Here’s the closing numbers for the Celtics-Knicks.


I’m adding that for each series. Full review tomorrow of Celts-Knicks.

Intro & Background first.

I’m going to be posting an advanced Box Score during the playoffs

It contains:

    • Basic information: Player , Team, Game ID (Who,what and when)
    • Classic Stats:Points ,Shots, Offensive Rebounds, Defensive Rebounds,Steals,Blocks, Assists (Because the classics are classics for a reason).
    • Simple spins on classics: % of Team Minutes (player minutes as % of total minutes available), Position (average player position)
    • Possesion and Play stats:
      • Offensive Plays : Field Goal attempts + .434 Free Throw Attempts + Turnovers
      • Usage of Offensive Plays : % of Offensive plays used by player when in the game
    • All the classic Offensive Efficiency stats (and some slightly modded ones):
      • Effective Field Goal %=(FG + 0.5 * 3P) / FGA
      • True Shooting %=Pts / (2 * (FGA + 0.44 * FTA)
      • Points per Shot = Pts/FGA
      • Points per Offensive Play= Pts/Offensive Plays
    • Do it Yourself Offensive Point Margin Stats:
      • Offensive Point Margin: this is the marginal value created by the player per offensive play spent. The calculation is:
        • OPM = (Points per Play for Player- Avg Points per play for Player for League)*Offensive Plays for Player
      • Defensive Point Margin: this is the marginal value surrendered by the player per offensive play spent. The calculation is:
          • DPM = (Points per Play for Opponent- Avg Points per play for Player for League)*Offensive Plays for Opponent. I’m doing this one by position averages per game.
      • Combined Margin: this is just OPM-DPM
      • Rebounding Rates: % of Rebounds on Offense, % of Rebounds on Defense.
      • The Classic Wins Produced stats (explained here) and my own opponent adjusted Wins Produced Stats (explained here). The difference? Classic assumes the opposing player is average. Opponent adjusted goes out and checks by position.

Parking Lot items :

  1. Do DPM based on average points per play for opponent.
  2. Add other advanced metricss (PER,Win Shares,EZPM, etc.)

Remember kids, my tastes are reflected in this (and they may not line up with yours).

I encourage you to comment and make suggestions as the eventual goal is to build an automatic version of this.

The raw data is here as a google doc (i’ll update it a little later)

And now the games for tonight.

Memphis-San Antonio Game 4


The Big three get it done. Not that big three. Z-Bo,Gasol and Trick or Treat Tony Allen .Memphis routed San Antonio in a must win game. Up is down. Black is White (literally).Scary part is I called it.

Do I need to build an Ark?

Portland-Dallas Game 5



The inevitable letdown game goes to the Mavs as they all show up to play and only Gerald Wallace does for the Blazers. Still glad I have the Mavs in seven.

Thunder-Nuggets Game 4


Ibaka continues to chew the scenery like a beast on a rampage. However Gallinari, Kenyon and Ty pull off the nail biter to avoid the sweep.

Here’s those summaries I promised:

Good night all.

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