Advanced Playoff Box Scores for 4/24/2011

Posted on 04/25/2011 by


Short Post tonight. The games and the totals so far. I did fix all the the @$@% J.Smith issues (Josh,JR,Jason and Joe, I swear…)

Intro & Background first.

I’m going to be posting an advanced Box Score during the playoffs

It contains:

    • Basic information: Player , Team, Game ID (Who,what and when)
    • Classic Stats:Points ,Shots, Offensive Rebounds, Defensive Rebounds,Steals,Blocks, Assists (Because the classics are classics for a reason).
    • Simple spins on classics: % of Team Minutes (player minutes as % of total minutes available), Position (average player position)
    • Possesion and Play stats:
      • Offensive Plays : Field Goal attempts + .434 Free Throw Attempts + Turnovers
      • Usage of Offensive Plays : % of Offensive plays used by player when in the game
    • All the classic Offensive Efficiency stats (and some slightly modded ones):
      • Effective Field Goal %=(FG + 0.5 * 3P) / FGA
      • True Shooting %=Pts / (2 * (FGA + 0.44 * FTA)
      • Points per Shot = Pts/FGA
      • Points per Offensive Play= Pts/Offensive Plays
    • Do it Yourself Offensive Point Margin Stats:
      • Offensive Point Margin: this is the marginal value created by the player per offensive play spent. The calculation is:
        • OPM = (Points per Play for Player- Avg Points per play for Player for League)*Offensive Plays for Player
      • Defensive Point Margin: this is the marginal value surrendered by the player per offensive play spent. The calculation is:
          • DPM = (Points per Play for Opponent- Avg Points per play for Player for League)*Offensive Plays for Opponent. I’m doing this one by position averages per game.
      • Combined Margin: this is just OPM-DPM
      • Rebounding Rates: % of Rebounds on Offense, % of Rebounds on Defense.
      • The Classic Wins Produced stats (explained here) and my own opponent adjusted Wins Produced Stats (explained here). The difference? Classic assumes the opposing player is average. Opponent adjusted goes out and checks by position.

Parking Lot items :

  1. Do DPM based on average points per play for opponent.
  2. Add other advanced metricss (PER,Win Shares,EZPM, etc.)

Remember kids, my tastes are reflected in this (and they may not line up with yours).

I encourage you to comment and make suggestions as the eventual goal is to build an automatic version of this.

The raw data is here as a google doc (i’ll update it a little later)

And now the games for tonight.

Miami-Philadelphia Game 4

Brand and the 76ers avoid the sweep. They will lose in five . Write it down. Case in point, my 1o year old nephew walked in from the beach and asked me by how much Miami won. I told him Philly won. He did not believe me. The Celtics await.

Seriously the Heat Lost!

Celtics-Knicks Game 4

I was a high school senior the last time the Celtics swept someone in the playoffs (Indiana in 1992 and I was actually in the building with my dad for game 2). It only took 19 years for it to happen again. KG fittingly was the best guy for the C’s for Game 4. Ray-Ray gets the Game ball for the series.

I loved Reggie Lewis.

Orland0-Atlanta Game 4

Really looking forward to a D’antoni/Stan Van Gundy booth real soon. New rule for me: never-ever trust a team that gives crunchtime playoff minutes to Gilbert Arenas (even though he wasn’t horrible tonight). I don’t think Howard is playing for Orlando next season.

Have you met Mikhail?

Lakers-Hornets Game 4

Somedays, it’s awesome to be a basketball fan.

I’ll let my twitter timeline as I was watching the game tell the story

  1. CHRISPAUL! Just needed to be said.
  2. I’m Chris Paul dammit!!!!!
  3. I’m gonna start calling him Chris F#$%ing Paul
  4. At this point, i’d put 3 guys on Chris F##$ing Paul
  5. Switch Paul and Rose. Nobody beats Chicago. Nobody.
  6. RT @pnharrel This is Chris F#$#ing Paul saying screw you LA, we are going seven.
  7. Chris F$#%ing Paul saying screw this I’m getting this ball myself.
  8. Watch,Watch, I’m going to get Jarrett Jack the game winner #chrispaulisthemvp
  9. @upandatom786 It’s the Magic Johnson thing. CP3 + 11 random guys is a playoff team with a shot for rest of career if he’s healthy.
  10. Chris F$%$ing Paul

OKC still looks like team to beat out West to me.

Here’s a bonus again to prove a point.

Player Standings thru the Playoffs so Far:

The Lakers are the defending champs.

The Hornets? They have Chris Paul and a superstar gives you hope.

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