Posted on 02/21/2011 by Arturo Galletti
Working today while you gringos are on holiday.
So here’s a little something to tide you over.
You may recognize the format. I took the table for the last MVP Post and filtered it for rookies.
Lessons learned? Blake and Landry really good. Omer Asik, Paul George, Davis and Turner are rounding into shape. Cousins may be making a leap on the court (regardless of the off the court stuff).
Enjoy.
[…] Regular readers know, I’ve been playing around with tracking monthly and weekly performance for NBA players (see here, here and here). […]
[…] Check out Ed Davis‘ ranking in Arturo Galletti’s rookie progress report. […]
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Arturo's Silly Little Stats v2.0 
JLewis
02/21/2011
I knew Blake started slow, very interesting to see him tailing off this month. A couple of possible explanations:
1. Eric Gordon injury means he sees a LOT more double teams and offensively he’s not skilled enough to deal with it at this stage in his career.
2. 11 game road trip and the entire Clipper team is horrible on the road.
3. The proverbial “rookie wall”
It will be interesting to see if he can snap out of it and get back to superstar status the remainder of the season.
robbieomalley
02/21/2011
You can see Wall started off really well and then had some ankle trouble as well as other injuries and it really slowed him down. You can see his WP48 start to creep back up. I’m mildly optimistic that he can become a ~.200 level player. I’m not so sure about .300+. I think he’ll be at least .150. He reminds me a little bit of Russell Westbrook statistically.
Chicago Tim
02/22/2011
Yay Asik! It will be interesting to see how much time he gets with Noah coming back. Thibs normally favors vets, but at the beginning of the season he played Asik more than Thomas, and Thomas could use the rest.
Nick Bentley
02/22/2011
Omer Asik stands out, since he’s improved every month. If he actually turns out to be as good as his most recent month suggests, the Bulls might be considerably scarier than they already are.
This begs the question: do trends like Asik’s have any predictive power for rookies?
arturogalletti
02/22/2011
Nick,
Playing with a data set now that might have that answer. I’ll post something when I have it.
Chicago Tim
02/22/2011
Also, I would love to see your table reorganized not by year in the league, but by age. Some of the rookies are over 24, while some of the vets have not yet hit their prime. If doing it for everyone is too much, maybe just everyone under 24 (still a good chance to improve) vs. everyone 24 and over?
Chicago Tim
02/22/2011
And I meant that for everyone, not just rookies. If you have time and interest, of course.
Mike
02/23/2011
Should there be a different scale for rookies? We expect rookies to improve, right?, so it’s looks a little harsh to hold them to a veteran standard. Also, it’s just not as helpful in rating rookies to see a screen just covered in red ‘scrub’ boxes. just a thought.