A Starry Night

Posted on 02/04/2011 by


“I dream my painting and I paint my dream.”
— Vincent van Gogh
I dreamed of something last night.

From the Basics:All articles use Wins Produced and WP48 [Wins Produced per 48 minutes] to evaluate player’s performance.* This measure uses three key components to evaluate a player:

  • The player’s per minute box score statistics
  • The player’s team’s per minute box score statistics
  • The average performance at the player’s position (PG, SG, SF, PF or C)

A full explanation can be found here. To give a general scale, an average player has a WP48 score of 0.100. The very best players in the league usually have a WP48 over 0.300. To put this in perspective; an average player who plays a full season at 40 minutes a game would generate around 6.83 wins for their team.  In contrast, a player posting a 0.300 WP48 would generate about 20.5 wins at 40 minutes a game over an 82 game season.

I typically consider 400 minutes in a season a significant sample

I consider:

  • a <.000 WP48 player a waste of a roster spot
  • a .050 WP48 player a bench player
  • a .100 WP48 player a starter
  • a .200 WP48 player a star
  • a .300 WP48 player a superstar
There are 36 star players this season. What If ,in honor of the All Star Game, I graphed the star players win produced for each game?
But that’s too simplistic. What if Iwent further? What if I figured out who the toughest opposition was for those player? Could I do that?
Of course I could. That’s here:
Apparently the stars come out on the road (just not against the Celts :-)). That dream I had?

Go ahead, click it. You  know you want too.

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