# Fanservice:Build Picks for 11/11 to 11/16

Posted on 11/11/2010 by

At the request of my readers, I’m just leaving this here:

 Picks 11/11 to 11/16 Hteam Rteam Date Win % Home Team Prediction GSW CHI 11/11/2010 56% WW BOS MIA 11/11/2010 53% WW LAL DEN 11/11/2010 77% W UTA ATL 11/12/2010 60% W HOU IND 11/12/2010 76% W TOR ORL 11/12/2010 31% L CHA WAS 11/12/2010 94% W NYK MIN 11/12/2010 71% W PHI DAL 11/12/2010 34% L SAC PHO 11/12/2010 59% WW POR OKC 11/12/2010 76% W DET LAC 11/12/2010 64% W ORL NJN 11/13/2010 74% W UTA CHA 11/13/2010 69% W IND CLE 11/13/2010 51% WW TOR MIA 11/13/2010 16% L POR NOH 11/13/2010 80% W WAS CHI 11/13/2010 4% L BOS MEM 11/13/2010 84% W GSW MIL 11/13/2010 73% W PHI SAS 11/13/2010 18% L MIN ATL 11/14/2010 40% L DET SAC 11/14/2010 40% WL SAS OKC 11/14/2010 67% W HOU NYK 11/14/2010 68% W PHO LAL 11/14/2010 44% WL MEM ORL 11/15/2010 45% WL MIN CHA 11/15/2010 48% WL NOH DAL 11/15/2010 66% W DEN PHO 11/15/2010 60% W OKC UTA 11/15/2010 72% W DET GSW 11/15/2010 31% L NJN LAC 11/15/2010 77% W PHI CLE 11/16/2010 45% WL ATL IND 11/16/2010 79% W TOR WAS 11/16/2010 80% W LAL MIL 11/16/2010 82% W POR MEM 11/16/2010 96% W CHI HOU 11/16/2010 78% W NYK DEN 11/16/2010 48% WL

To explain, I took the raw wins predictions for each team (from my final preseason projection) combined it with the equation for home team winning I came up with for a single game (see here for detail). To put it simply:

Probability of Home team winning a game = (Projected Wins Home Team-Projected Wins Road Team)/82 +.606

Then I worked it out for every game so far as follows:

• If W% is greater than 60% call it a strong Win for the home team
• If W% is greater than 50% but less than 60% call it a weak Win (WW) for the home team
• If W% is greater than 40% but less than 50% call it a weak Loss (WL) for the home team
• If W% is less than 40% call it a strong Loss (L) for the home team

The Rookies are next.

Note:Whoops! I flipped the Home and Road teams in my new automated table (Thanks CT for the catch).

Chicago Tim, this one's for you

The real prediction is :

 Picks 11/ to 11/16 Hteam Rteam Date Win % Home Team Prediction CHI GSW 11/11/2010 65% W MIA BOS 11/11/2010 68% W DEN LAL 11/11/2010 44% WL ATL UTA 11/12/2010 61% W IND HOU 11/12/2010 45% WL ORL TOR 11/12/2010 90% W WAS CHA 11/12/2010 28% L MIN NYK 11/12/2010 50% WW DAL PHI 11/12/2010 87% W PHO SAC 11/12/2010 62% W OKC POR 11/12/2010 45% WL LAC DET 11/12/2010 57% WW NJN ORL 11/13/2010 47% WL CHA UTA 11/13/2010 52% WW CLE IND 11/13/2010 70% W MIA TOR 11/13/2010 105% W NOH POR 11/13/2010 42% WL CHI WAS 11/13/2010 117% W MEM BOS 11/13/2010 38% L MIL GSW 11/13/2010 48% WL SAS PHI 11/13/2010 103% W ATL MIN 11/14/2010 82% W SAC DET 11/14/2010 81% W OKC SAS 11/14/2010 54% WW NYK HOU 11/14/2010 53% WW LAL PHO 11/14/2010 77% W ORL MEM 11/15/2010 76% W CHA MIN 11/15/2010 73% W DAL NOH 11/15/2010 55% WW PHO DEN 11/15/2010 61% W UTA OKC 11/15/2010 49% WL GSW DET 11/15/2010 90% W LAC NJN 11/15/2010 45% WL CLE PHI 11/16/2010 76% W IND ATL 11/16/2010 42% WL WAS TOR 11/16/2010 42% WL MIL LAL 11/16/2010 39% L MEM POR 11/16/2010 26% L HOU CHI 11/16/2010 43% WL DEN NYK 11/16/2010 73% W