30 to 16 to 1:(Pt. 10 Rnd2): This is the End

Posted on 08/21/2010 by

2



The Basics:

30 to 16 to 1. Based on a half baked notion, that since the true goal of any NBA season is to turn thirty teams into one champion and as we saw in my earlier piece, what wins in the regular season is not necessarily what  gets you the trophy, my 2010 Playoff Review series continues.

The Half-Baked Notion:

Simple (based on 2010 numbers):

  • The best two players accounted for 55% of a teams wins in the 2010 Playoffs.
  • The top three players are just below the pareto threshold
  • The next three (4,5,6th man) account for the rest of the positive win contribution about equally.
  • After that everybody else actually hurt teams in the playoffs.

The format will look at the best six players in the playoffs for each team, will look at how many wins their coach/injuries might have cost them and talk about their opportunities/drawbacks going forward (and if they’ve done anything in the off-season to address these). We will go from least productive to most productive team in the Playoff (based on the table that follows now):

This piece covers the last of the 2nd Round Losers: The Cavaliers on the Erie .

This is the End

Black for Mourning

“Now, I make fun of Cleveland because everybody makes fun of Cleveland. I mean, every country has one city that people make fun of. In Russia, we used to make fun of Cleveland.”Yakov Smirnoff

  • The Storyline: Cleveland. Recently Forbes did a poll of the most miserable cities in the US. Unsurprisingly, Cleveland won. But this was back in february. The Fumble, The Drive, The Shot, The Decision. Since Jim Brown made that phone call from the set of the Dirty Dozen,  Cleveland has always been a bad luck sports town.  The sad part is not only are their teams losers but their also not even the best at losing (Cubs,Bills & Clippers before you ask).
  • The Good: Lebron. He was easily the best player in the playoffs accordng to WP48 with greater than 200 MP (Wade was number 2). Jamison and Varejao were decent (although Varejao was hurt).
  • The Bad: Lebron. Did  you know he’s in Miami now?
  • The Coach: I already took Mike Brown to the woodshed here.  I’d feel bad continuing to beat on the not so dearly departed
  • Needs: An exorcism perhaps? Episodes of Buffy the Vampire Slayer established that there was a Hellmouth in Cleveland. A second-rate one. Really this team needs at least two star players to replace what they lost.
  • Major Moves: They lost the best player in the league. Their owner sent a nice letter which pretty much guaranteed that the draft is to only path left to them to bring in new players.


  • 2011 Outlook: The outlook is sad. This franchise had a once in a lifetime opportunity to build a perennial winner and they squandered it. They had the wrong coach, they signed the wrong guys and at the end of the day were left with nothing. But it’s hard to blame them. This all comes down to an undersized what-if named Carlos Boozer. People forget but Boozer played with the Cavs for 2 years (and with Lebron when he was as a rookie). Cleveland foolishly let him out of his contract to do right by him on a handshake deal and he ran away to the Jazz. If Boozer had stayed, I am convinced that Cleveland wins multiple titles (and Lebron perhaps does not leave). The problem lies in one inalienable fact: given a choice, everybody leaves.

“This is the end

My only friend, the end

Of our elaborate plans, the end

Of everything that stands, the end” The Doors-The End

This is the end
Beautiful friend
This is the end
My only friend, the end
Of our elaborate plans, the end
Of everything that stands, the end

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