Advanced Playoff Box Scores for 5/19/2011

Posted on 05/20/2011 by

0



Sometimes the you think the lead is easy.

KD leads his team to victory right?

Wrong. Here’s the Playoff wins per 48 top 5.

Does something look out of place to you?

James Harden is the 4th best per minute player of the playoffs so far. He’s playing like a superstar when the games matter most.  He basically carried the Thunder to that win.

And the Celts were supposed to get him in the Perk trade.

Links now:

Boxscore Explanations in gray:

I’m going to be posting an advanced Box Score during the playoffs after every game.

It contains:

    • Basic information: Player , Team, Game ID (Who,what and when)
    • Classic Stats:Points ,Shots, Offensive Rebounds, Defensive Rebounds,Steals,Blocks, Assists (Because the classics are classics for a reason).
    • Simple spins on classics: % of Team Minutes (player minutes as % of total minutes available), Position (average player position)
    • Possesion and Play stats:
      • Offensive Plays : Field Goal attempts + .434 Free Throw Attempts + Turnovers
      • Usage of Offensive Plays : % of Offensive plays used by player when in the game
    • All the classic Offensive Efficiency stats (and some slightly modded ones):
      • Effective Field Goal %=(FG + 0.5 * 3P) / FGA
      • True Shooting %=Pts / (2 * (FGA + 0.44 * FTA)
      • Points per Shot = Pts/FGA
      • Points per Offensive Play= Pts/Offensive Plays
    • Do it Yourself Offensive Point Margin Stats:
      • Offensive Point Margin: this is the marginal value created by the player per offensive play spent. The calculation is:
        • OPM = (Points per Play for Player- Avg Points per play for Player for League)*Offensive Plays for Player
      • Defensive Point Margin: this is the marginal value surrendered by the player per offensive play spent. The calculation is:
          • DPM = (Points per Play for Opponent- Avg Points per play for Player for League)*Offensive Plays for Opponent. I’m doing this one by position averages per game.
      • Combined Margin: this is just OPM-DPM
      • Rebounding Rates: % of Rebounds on Offense, % of Rebounds on Defense.
      • The Classic Wins Produced stats (explained here) and my own opponent adjusted Wins Produced Stats (explained here). The difference? Classic assumes the opposing player is average. Opponent adjusted goes out and checks by position.

Parking Lot items :

  1. Do DPM based on average points per play for opponent.
  2. Add other advanced metricss (PER,Win Shares,EZPM, etc.)

Remember kids, my tastes are reflected in this (and they may not line up with yours).

I encourage you to comment and make suggestions as the eventual goal is to build an automatic version of this.

The raw data is here as a google doc (updated now)

The Box-score follows:

Mavs-Thunder Game 2


Harden was a one man wrecking crew tonight and the Thunder needed him as Durant and Westbrook played like true T-wolves (not named Kevin Love of course). Kidd was good, JJ was great on one end but got murderized on the other like he was driving on Bynum . Dirk and Chandler also showed but it was not quite enough to overcome James Harden’s magnificent playoff beard.

Oh, and Westbrook may have played his way to the bench.

So now we have two great series full of uncertainty.

Everybody wins the sequel.

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