Browsing All Posts published on »March, 2011«

What’s the Use?

March 31, 2011 by

19

The first principle is that you must not fool yourself – and you are the easiest person to fool.- Richard Feynman For an engineer like me , unintended consequences are a way of life. Someone comes up with something fancy and we see some new way to apply it. Getting from point A to point […]

An APM Primer/Bleg

March 30, 2011 by

43

One of the few downsides of living in the tropics is that we have periodic power outages. Tonight was such a night. So I spent the night reading a book in the dark with an LED candle (yay progress!?!). Sadly, this prevented me from writing a post. Luckily, I had a great guest post lined […]

Podcast & NBA Now Playoff Rankings Oh my!

March 29, 2011 by

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Dorothy: Lions, and tigers, and bears! Oh, my! – The Wizards of Oz Two things today. First care of me are the Rankings. But these are not your average rankings. These are playoffs rankings, based on the Half Baked Notion ( 30 to 16 to 1 ). The Half-Baked notion is this: what wins in […]

Sneak Peek

March 28, 2011 by

5

I’ve been working this weekend and I’m tired so I’m just going to give you a tease of what I ‘ve been working on (actually one of the things). Full explanations will follow. Later in the day. Time Management can be a bitch sometimes.

Retcon

March 27, 2011 by

7

Comic book fans will be familiar with the term “retcon”, which in layman’s terms means that the writer waves his hand and tells you “Remember when we said this? We screwed up, forget about that.” —Spoony on Highlander 3. You’ve seen this before. But as the title implies we’re here to talk about changes and […]

The All NBA Tournament

March 26, 2011 by

10

“Art must take reality by surprise”-Francoise Sagan Sometimes the unexpected path leads to the best results. That unseen fork in the road lead to an amazing tableau of beauty and coolness. This just might be one of those times. I was all set to roll with one of three great posts that were already in […]

The Wages of Wins Network 2011 Votes for 6th Man of the Year

March 25, 2011 by

11

Teamwork is essential – it allows you to blame someone else. ~Author Unknown The following post is the result of Me and Dre messing around. So for this post, Words by Nerdnumbers, Visuals by Arturo. I now cede the floor to Nerdnumbers Enjoy -Arturo Let’s thank @daniellawver for this one: “@NerdNumbers 6th man of the […]

Forgetting History – Where did 2008 Go?

March 24, 2011 by

45

Nerd Numbers here. This year has seen a huge growth in terms of writing and stats for me. I joined the Wages of Wins Network, I jumped on to twitter(@nerdnumbers). I have always been a nerd but after becoming a stats writer my focus on numbers got even worse. Twitter and the blogging world let […]

Late Night

March 23, 2011 by

18

For the love of God, folks, don’t try this at home.-”David Letterman” A while back I gave you something completely different (it even came with a ready made sequel). It’s time for a comeback. Get ready for a Series of Good Nights part3 : Late Night. But first let’s talk about the beginning: A series […]

Podcasting with the Superstat Team

March 22, 2011 by

5

Another Monday and another podcast. . . or wait! We actually have two podcasts . This is a stats blog so I feel compelled to make sure you’re aware that the podcast parts are about the same size as a normal one but was split into two because it turns out trying to get someone […]

Who players are now

March 21, 2011 by

23

I was curious. Famous last words. I wanted to see how player performance had changed as the season went along. Who’s better now? Who’s worse? Which teams are allocating their minutes well? Which are doing it poorly? I of course decided to make a graph. The rules are simple: All players listed are currently on […]

Playoff DNA (Rev.3)

March 20, 2011 by

5

A few days ago I gave you my first playoff rankings. It represented a start at breaking down the playoff teams but as with any beta it has a few flaws, the first being that its based on regular season data. Let’s fix that. Let’s look at players playoff DNA and let’s do it graphically. […]

Rookie Update

March 19, 2011 by

4

It’s a virtual tie. First off, I did a podcast today. Check it out it’s way fun. I had a few posts I was kicking around but I kinda don’t want to talk about Melo again as of yet, even though carmelo and the Knicks are incidental to the point I’m trying to prove. Much […]

NBA Now Rankings:Winning Time

March 17, 2011 by

12

“We can’t define anything precisely. If we attempt to, we get into that paralysis of thought that comes to philosophers… one saying to the other: “you don’t know what you are talking about!”. The second one says: “what do you mean by talking? What do you mean by you? What do you mean by know?“ […]

Win Run Chart: Denver Nuggets

March 17, 2011 by

11

Worked real late today. So a short post tonight and long post tomorrow, which was not the original plan. Here’s something fun: The Nuggets have been killing it without the Basketball version of the Black hole. I’m confused. Weren’t they supposed to collapse since they lost the guy that took the shots and made them […]

Nerd Numbers Guest Post: Top 25 Players Part Two

March 16, 2011 by

9

Nerd Numbers here. Arturo let me post the first part of a follow up piece to Mosi of the Miami Heat Index and Devin of NBeh?. Both looked at the top 50 NBA players list from a few year back and updated it. In terms of stats the NBA is an odd bird. It wasn’t […]

Tuesday Podcast: A Rose does not equal Love

March 15, 2011 by

12

Another week and that means another podcast (which thanks to technical difficulties is in two parts) http://www.nerdnumbers.com/podcasts/STAT_03_15_2011_part1.mp3 and http://www.nerdnumbers.com/podcasts/STAT_03_15_2011_part2.mp3 but of course smart readers like you are using the RSS feed at: http://www.nerdnumbers.com/podcasts/stat_feed.xml (Advanced->Subscribe to Podcast in iTunes) Nerd Numbers here. Arturo Daniel and myself got together and talked until the internet would not let […]

1 in 10 Million

March 14, 2011 by

40

“The Black Swan Theory or Theory of Black Swan Events is a metaphor that encapsulates the concept that The event is a surprise (to the observer) and has a major impact. After the fact, the event is rationalized by hindsight.“- Wikipedia definition Yesterday was all about perspective. Today it’s all about context. Really it all […]

Perspective

March 14, 2011 by

33

Something fell. It’s important to put things in perspective. We miss the obvious sometimes. We’re too close at the time the event occurs and we miss when something truly monumental is occurring. The point sometimes is that everybody misses the point. Here’s a table of the greatest single season basketball performances since 1978. The metric […]

Win Run Chart: The Texas Triangle

March 13, 2011 by

8

“ If you want to know about Creation and Time, Read Difficulties Resolved on the Journey to the West.” Journey to the West Wu Cheng-en The run charts have been great fun so far, but I’ve been neglecting our friends in the West. Let’s fix that. We start with the Texas triangle as our journey […]

Win Run Chart: Not for the faint of Heart

March 12, 2011 by

6

“They were not composed altogether of flesh and blood. They had shape…but that shape was not made of matter. When the stars were right, They could plunge from world to world through the sky; but when the stars were wrong, They could not live. But although They no longer lived, They would never really die. […]

Nerd Numbers Guest Post: Top 10 All Time

March 11, 2011 by

15

Hey all, Nerd Numbers here. My blog’s still in the shop but Arturo has offered to let me post here until I’m back on my feet. I noticed Arturo didn’t put a post up last night so I figured now was a good time to put up a piece I had sitting on my hard […]

Win Run Chart: The East Wind

March 10, 2011 by

6

“You left the East Wind to me,” said Gimli, “but I will say naught of it.” “That is as it should be,” said Aragorn. “In Minas Tirith they endure the East Wind, but they do not ask it for tidings. …” - The Lord of the Rings “The Two Towers” You know I love visualizations. […]

Two Ships in the Night

March 9, 2011 by

10

The best graphs serve to make a quick point. Case in point, let’s graph two teams using numbers as of yesterday: There’s a reason I liked the Blazers at the start of the season. Deep roster with no holes that survived catastrophic injury luck. Now with some health and more depth ( think Wallace and […]

Podcast: Contenders?

March 8, 2011 by

7

Weekend Podcast! The link is at http://www.nerdnumbers.com/podcasts/STAT_03_08_2011.mp3 but of course smart readers like you are using the RSS feed at: http://www.nerdnumbers.com/podcasts/stat_feed.xml (Advanced->Subscribe to Podcast in iTunes) Hey all! Arturo has kindly let me couch surf on his blog while Nerd Numbers is getting made over. The important thing to post about today is our podcast. […]

Team Run Chart: Lakers vs Celtics

March 8, 2011 by

7

I  love charts. And I’m loving the Run charts and tonight we’re doing it old school. For the NBA, the old stories never go away and it seems like this season is no exception. I give you Lakers vs. Celtics. Let’s start with the champs (I think I just threw up in my throat a […]

Team Run Chart: Memphis Grizzlies

March 7, 2011 by

10

Yesterday was fun. Let’s do another short one. Yesterday it was the Bulls. Today we go with my dark horse out west for a 1st round upset: the Memphis Grizzlies.     Let’s break it down: It’s all about Zbo. Memphis is a for real threat in round one. Gay needs to be back in […]

Team Run Chart: Chicago Bulls

March 6, 2011 by

4

This here is a test. Yesterday, I put up a post for Dre visually breaking down every game. His response? Hey, So your game by game imagery was awesome. Of course my response to is to ask for another great follow up. I did the season split and it was interesting (Memphis IS a contender […]

Breaking down every Game

March 5, 2011 by

9

Short post today (but with a lot of prework). I got a great tweet today: NerdNumbers:I’m 90% sure this is how @ArturoGalletti does his math – http://abstrusegoose.com/345 It made me laugh, long and loud. Since Andres is a fan of my visualizations, I decided to make something neat for him. I broke down every game […]

Deconstructing a Model (Advanced Plus Minus)

March 4, 2011 by

83

You can lay the blame for inspiring this post squarely on the shoulders of Nate Silver, Dave Berri and Andres Alvarez. Nate Silver for inspiring me with his work and prodding me into action with his Melo piece. Dave Berri for also inspiring me with his work and letting me borrow his podium and his […]

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