Doing it in the Clutch

Posted on 01/24/2011 by

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“These are the times that try men’s souls. The summer soldier and the sunshine patriot will, in this crisis, shrink from the service of their country; but he that stands by it now, deserves the love and thanks of man and woman.” – Thomas Payne The Crisis

82games.com has a neat little feature where they keep track of clutch stats. They define clutch as: 4th quarter or overtime, less than 5 minutes left, neither team ahead by more than 5 points. I decided to take these stats and make a fun little post for your amusement .

First a little background. I’m going to be following the same logic as I used here. I’m going to divide by usage groups. I’m going to look at points per shot and  per possesion (FGA +TOV+FTA*.44) . I’m also calculating Points created per possesion : (Total Pts scored+Unassisted points scored)/2  +Assists *(Avg value of points per FGM(2.7 pts) /2) . Oh and everything is per 48 and I included average values for reference.

Enjoy!



What to make of this? For the super high usage players in the clutch, Westbrook is a freak . Dirk, Kobe and Ellis carry that load. Lebron & Rose are good.  Eric Gordon doesn’t hurt you. Johnson,Amare and Durant actually do hurt you. Beasley, Thomas and Jrich  pain you. Carmelo, Cousins do things out of a torture porn movie to you.

Bargniani deserves to be tried by the world court for crimes committed against Canada.

Group 2 (high usage) is point guard heavy with Nash,Paul & Williams killing it in the clutch (with Harris, Miller, Farmar Billups & Parker joining in as well). Pierce and Ginobli show up as well matching the stat to perception (I do actually watch the games).  Kevin Love hurts his  MVP candidacy severely by producing at a sub Bargniani level in the clutch.

As for the rest of the groups? Rondo should totally get the ball more in the clutch (but I knew that) and so should Felton, Bibby and Kidd.  The big surprise? Landry Fields should really get the ball more.

For some perspective let’s also do it by team:

You too can now bitch at your team’s questionable play selection!

P.S Here’s a link to piece I collaborated on looking at WP48 Clutchiness with Prof. Berri for Slate

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