184 days. 175 post . 97,000 page views. Sometimes it’s just about getting in the reps. The NBA season (much like keeping a blog) can be a grind. You may be exhausted and frustrated sometimes but you keep at it. It’s a long season and things can change in an instant. Which is why when… [Read more…]
December 29, 2010 by Arturo Galletti
Some things in this life are just not fair. In my last post I referred to one of those things in the following paragraph: “Value in basketball terms for a player to me can be easily defined in terms of Wins Produced for the team and we know those are highly correlated to point differential.… [Read more…]
December 27, 2010 by Arturo Galletti
I get bored very easily and when I’m bored it’s hard to keep my attention focused. My mind wonders until I find something of interest to keep me entertained (exhibit A: this blog ) I bring this up because I got bored at one point for a few hours during the weekend during a christmas… [Read more…]
December 24, 2010 by Arturo Galletti
“Three Rings for the Elven-kings under the sky, Seven for the dwarf-lords in their halls of stone, Nine for Mortal Men doomed to die, One for the Dark Lord on his dark throne, In the Land of Mordor where the Shadows lie. One Ring to rule them all, One Ring to find them, One Ring… [Read more…]
December 23, 2010 by Arturo Galletti
I’m off to my office X-Mas party. But first some X-mas silliness for My readers: Merry Christmas to all!
December 23, 2010 by Arturo Galletti
I screwed up in the last post. It’s really not the first time and it won’t be the last . But it was the good kind of screw up, the kind that makes me go out and break out some maths and some datasets. So feel free to grab a drink, review the Basics or… [Read more…]
December 21, 2010 by Arturo Galletti
In a hurry today, so this’ll be quick (but I hope great fun). As reader of this blog, you might now that I’ve been playing around with Win Produced game splits and adding in defense. The driver for this has been the fact that currently Wins Produced divides defense up at the team level for… [Read more…]
December 18, 2010 by Arturo Galletti
The first big trade of the NBA season went down today and it didn’t involve Carmelo Anthony. Instead it was triggered by the team who I had written off as a contender a few days ago : The Orlando Magic. In fact it involved three teams: the Magic, the Suns and our old friends the… [Read more…]
December 18, 2010 by Arturo Galletti
A little more than once a decade. That’s the answer to a question that we’ll be asking at the end of this piece. The point of this piece is to talk about exceptional rookies. I’ve done a lot of work on rookies since I’ve started this blog and a few things have become readily apparent… [Read more…]
December 17, 2010 by Arturo Galletti
After a very intense and long work week learning the ins and outs of my new job, today I’ve been driving all day visiting plants . In fact by the end of today i’ll have been on the road for eight hours. Why should you care about this? Well as I sit here on the… [Read more…]
December 16, 2010 by Arturo Galletti
Game Theory is the study of games and strategy. It’s focus is all about the choices the players and how that affect the probability of success. A game has players, a set of moves (or strategies) available to those players, each with a specific value or payoffs. As a player you want to undertake moves… [Read more…]
December 13, 2010 by Arturo Galletti
Everyone’s surprised by the New York Knicks. This piece was posted over at Wages of Wins originally on August 3rd. It was inspired by my tweaking around with Automated wins produced (go see the Basics) and realizing that Hey! The Knicks might be good. This piece then took about two weeks to prepare and led… [Read more…]
December 13, 2010 by Arturo Galletti
“Do you want to know who you are? Don’t ask. Act! Action will delineate and define you.”- Thomas Jefferson One of the most time honored ways to get an idea of where a process sits is thru sampling. Sampling is the practice concerned with of looking at a subset of large population (say 10 out… [Read more…]
December 12, 2010 by Arturo Galletti
There’s about 188 possessions in an NBA basketball game. Hi. Did you miss me? I missed you. I been busy and somewhat sidetracked these last few days. My internet was on the fritz. My wife’s computer broke (and I’m currently sharing custody of my laptop at home) . I have also done Luckily, my blog’s… [Read more…]
December 10, 2010 by Arturo Galletti
I remember the first comment I ever wrote on the WOW blog. Sadly, I don’t remember which post it was written it but I remember the gist of it. In it I stated that the admirable part of Wins Produced was the fact that it was open source in nature. Prof. Berri made a clear… [Read more…]
December 8, 2010 by Arturo Galletti
Ok. This was going to be a comment but I decided to make it’s own post Let me try to summarize my position: Wins Produced measures the value of each players contribution on the court when their on it. The coefficients line up perfectly to Point Margin on a game to game basis In general… [Read more…]
December 7, 2010 by Arturo Galletti
Back in high school, when we had a really hard test all the smart kids would get together and produce a cheat sheet. Over time, we learned there were a couple of hard and fast rules for doing this: It had to be simple and organized It had to be small (preferably fitting in the… [Read more…]
December 5, 2010 by Arturo Galletti
“If ever there is tomorrow when we’re not together.. there is something you must always remember. you are braver than you believe, stronger than you seem, and smarter than you think. but the most important thing is, even if we’re apart.. i’ll always be with you.” -Winnie the Pooh I’ve been somewhat away for a… [Read more…]
December 3, 2010 by Arturo Galletti
I really wanted to get this post out last night but life sometimes intervenes. I was all set to start writing and then my wife’s computer went belly up (stupid Vista). I was up till 3 am working on it, using what my wife calls the black and white little nerd screen. Now, I get… [Read more…]
December 1, 2010 by Arturo Galletti
This is a re-run that I thought would be timely. This was originally posted 08/06/2010 back when this blog was much more of a solitary exercise. On Wednesday, Henry Abbott of Truehoop and ESPN offered the following bet/prediction: (Darko) Milicic will help his team more than (Shaquille) O’Neal will this upcoming season. Mr. Abbott based… [Read more…]
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December 31, 2010 by Arturo Galletti
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