Browsing All Posts published on »December, 2010«

NBA Now Rankings as of 12/28/2010

December 31, 2010 by

8

184 days. 175 post . 97,000 page views. Sometimes it’s just about getting in the reps. The NBA season (much like keeping a blog) can be a grind. You may be exhausted and frustrated  sometimes but you keep at it. It’s a long season and things can change in an instant. Which is why when […]

The unfair advantage

December 29, 2010 by

22

Some things in this life are just not fair. In my last post I referred to one of those things in the following paragraph: “Value in basketball terms for a player to me can be easily defined in terms of Wins Produced for the team and we know those are highly correlated to point differential. […]

The MVP Race (so far)

December 27, 2010 by

42

I get bored very easily and when I’m bored it’s hard to keep my attention focused. My mind wonders until I find something of interest to keep me entertained (exhibit A: this blog :-)) I bring this up because I got bored at one point for a few hours during the weekend during a christmas […]

The Quest for the One Number

December 24, 2010 by

6

“Three Rings for the Elven-kings under the sky, Seven for the dwarf-lords in their halls of stone, Nine for Mortal Men doomed to die, One for the Dark Lord on his dark throne, In the Land of Mordor where the Shadows lie. One Ring to rule them all, One Ring to find them, One Ring […]

Pre-Christmas Silliness

December 23, 2010 by

3

I’m off to my office X-Mas party. But first some X-mas silliness for My readers:   Merry Christmas to all!

Opponent WP48 and Opponent adjusted WP48 for 2010

December 23, 2010 by

24

I screwed up in the last post. It’s really not the first time and it won’t be the last . But it was the good kind of screw up, the kind that makes me go out and break out some maths and some datasets. So feel free to grab a drink, review the Basics or […]

Best Players right now and Defense Adjusted WP Part 2

December 21, 2010 by

40

In a hurry today, so this’ll be quick (but I hope great fun). As  reader of this blog, you might now that I’ve been playing around with Win Produced game splits and adding in defense. The driver for this has been the fact that currently Wins Produced divides defense up at the team level for […]

Magic Time?

December 18, 2010 by

31

The first big trade of the NBA season went down today and it didn’t involve Carmelo Anthony. Instead it was triggered by the team who I had written off as a contender a few days ago : The Orlando Magic. In fact it involved three teams: the Magic, the Suns and our old friends the […]

Hitting the Lottery

December 18, 2010 by

7

A little more than once a decade. That’s the answer to a question that we’ll be asking at the end of this piece. The point of this piece is to talk about exceptional rookies.  I’ve done a lot of work on rookies since I’ve started this blog and a few things have become readily apparent […]

Blogging on the road and some Fanservice

December 17, 2010 by

6

After a very intense and long work week learning the ins and outs of my new job, today I’ve been driving all day visiting plants . In fact by the end of today i’ll have been on the road for eight hours.  Why should you care about this? Well as I sit here on the […]

Most Important Players for the Season so Far

December 16, 2010 by

19

Game Theory is the study of games and strategy. It’s focus is all about the choices the players and how that affect the probability of success. A game has players, a set of moves (or strategies) available to those players, each with a specific value or payoffs. As a player you want to undertake moves […]

Bonus Post: Empire State of Mind: Not quite the Blueprint

December 13, 2010 by

7

Everyone’s surprised by the New York Knicks.  This piece was posted over at Wages of Wins originally on August 3rd. It was inspired by my tweaking around with Automated wins produced (go see the Basics) and  realizing that Hey! The Knicks might be good. This piece then took about two weeks to prepare and led […]

NBA Sample Rankings 12/13/10

December 13, 2010 by

10

“Do you want to know who you are? Don’t ask. Act! Action will delineate and define you.”- Thomas Jefferson One of the most time honored ways to get an idea of where a process sits is thru sampling. Sampling is the practice concerned with of looking at a subset of large population (say 10 out […]

A Sunday Kind of Post: Winning Strategies

December 12, 2010 by

17

There’s about 188 possessions in an NBA basketball game. Hi. Did you miss me? I missed you. I been busy and somewhat sidetracked these last few days. My internet was on the fritz. My wife’s computer broke (and I’m currently sharing custody of my laptop at home) . I have also done Luckily, my blog’s […]

The DIY Experience

December 10, 2010 by

84

I remember the first comment I ever wrote on the WOW blog. Sadly, I don’t remember which post it was written it but I remember the gist of it. In it I stated that the admirable part of Wins Produced was the fact that it was open source in nature. Prof. Berri made a clear […]

A response

December 8, 2010 by

76

Ok. This was going to be a comment but I decided to make it’s own post Let me try to summarize my position: Wins Produced measures the value of each players contribution on the court when their on it. The coefficients line up perfectly to Point Margin on a game to game basis In general […]

The Win Cheat Sheet and Point Margin Produced Rev 1.1

December 7, 2010 by

48

Back in high school, when we had a really hard test all the smart kids would get together and produce a cheat sheet. Over time, we learned there were a couple of hard and fast rules for doing this: It had to be simple and organized It had to be small (preferably fitting in the […]

Around the WOW ( as of 12/05/2010)

December 5, 2010 by

12

“If ever there is tomorrow when we’re not together.. there is something you must always remember. you are braver than you believe, stronger than you seem, and smarter than you think. but the most important thing is, even if we’re apart.. i’ll always be with you.” -Winnie the Pooh I’ve been somewhat away for a […]

Game to Game Wins Produced Correlation for 2009-2010 Season and a fun little equation

December 3, 2010 by

70

I really wanted to get this post out last night but life sometimes intervenes. I was all set to start writing and then my wife’s computer went belly up (stupid Vista). I was up till 3 am working on it, using what my wife calls the black and white little nerd screen. Now, I get […]

Revisiting Shaq v Darko

December 1, 2010 by

4

This is a re-run that I thought would be timely. This was originally posted 08/06/2010 back when this blog was much more of a solitary exercise. On Wednesday, Henry Abbott of Truehoop and ESPN offered the following bet/prediction: (Darko) Milicic will help his team more than (Shaquille) O’Neal will this upcoming season. Mr. Abbott based […]

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