## Explaning the Basics

November 30, 2010 by

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“In the beginning God created the heavens and the earth. 2 Now the earth was formless and empty, darkness was over the surface of the deep, and the Spirit of God was hovering over the waters. 3 And God said, “Let there be light,” and there was light. 4 God saw that the light was […]

## The Best Team he’s ever played with?

November 29, 2010 by

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“This is a great team. The best team I’ve been on. They’ve got a lot of weapons on this team, so on any given night anybody can be the leading scorer. The team’s very unselfish, so the shots are going to drop off and they easily could have shot them and did that but…great game. […]

## Favorites, Contenders and Pretenders

November 27, 2010 by

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We’ve spent some time this week talking about the past, let’s get back to present. In the preseason, I, with the assistance of my readers came up with the Championship Equation which set out to establish the necessary (but not sufficient) conditions for building a championship team. The intent was to have an edge in […]

November 26, 2010 by

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In this blog we follow the Golden Rule. The Golden Rule, or ethic of reciprocity, essentially states either of the following: 1. Treat others as one would like others to treat you I got my start as blogger thanks to Prof. Berri over at Wages of Wins. He very kindly gave me his forum multiple […]

## The WP48 effect of changing teams

November 25, 2010 by

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Some time ago, Prof. Berri published a story on the effect on WP48 of changing from one team to another. The piece focused on Al Jefferson moving from to Utah from Minnesota. That piece is here. In it the effect is given as: -.300 ( Avg WP48 of New Teammates -Avg WP48 of Old Teammates) […]

## Re-examining myths and explaining how regression works

November 24, 2010 by

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You know, sometimes it’s fun to poke the bear. Did you know that when the bomb squad wants to defuse a bomb and they don’t know how to, they take it out to an empty field somewhere and blow it up? That’s kinda the opposite of what we do here. My defining trait is that […]

## The Rebounding Myth

November 23, 2010 by

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“Insanity: doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results.”-Albert Einstein I wrote in a private e-mail today: “Yesterday’s piece was one of those pieces that just happen. I’d been working all weekend on some consulting work I need to hand in and when I went to write the Around the Wow […]

## Around the WOW week 4

November 22, 2010 by

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And then things start to happen, don’t worry. Don’t stew. Just go right along. You’ll start happening too. OH! THE PLACES YOU’LL GO! You’ll be on your way up! You’ll be seeing great sights! You’ll join the high fliers who soar to high heights. Welcome again to one of my favorite segments. Where I take […]

## The 100 Worst Seasons/Players in the NBA since 1978

November 21, 2010 by

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I read a cool series today. In between working on a consulting gig at home, I read this piece from deadspin. In it they take it upon themselves to rank the 100 worst nfl players of all time. I was inspired to rank the 100 worst statistical seasons of all time (or at least since […]

## Fanservice: Full Service Tables, Rating the Defenses and Sample Correlation

November 20, 2010 by

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I’ve been debating Quality vs Quantity for this blog in the past few weeks. I tried the structured approach and didn’t love it. Yes the output was there but the process wasn’t as enjoyable and I think it showed in the result. Plus you know the lack of sleep was a definite problem. So now […]

## A Guide to jumping to conclusions in the NBA and Employee of the Year for 2009-2010

November 18, 2010 by

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My first move as the manager of the machine shop was to introduce standardized work. –Taiichi Ohno father of the Toyota Production System Quality over Quantity. Consistency. These are the hallmarks on which truly excellent organizations are founded. The centerpiece of the Toyota Production system is the reduction of variability. Variability leads to waste and […]

## NBA Now Rankings Week #3 (including updated WP thru 11/16) and a Smackdown update

November 16, 2010 by

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As you can obviously tell, I’m more than a little distracted this week. A lot of things going on: new job, all the paperwork hassle of switching insurance,  new projects with Andres , the regular podcast , some old consulting projects that I need to close out in my own time before the end of […]

## On their worst day

November 16, 2010 by

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Short but cool post today (Pretty graphs are included) So Andres dropped a big hint. Thanks to him I now have game split data (Read the Basics if you’re new). This means I can can answer a recurring question I’ve had about WP48. We know the average but what about the variability? For the purposes […]

## Around the WOW week 3

November 14, 2010 by

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It’s been a pleasure to bring my talents to south beach now on to Memphis – Paul Pierce via Twitter The Paul Pierce quote is an illustration of why I love Twitter. I love having to craft your thought into a clear and concise phrase. I love the immediacy, the false intimacy. The trash […]

## Fanservice & True Love

November 14, 2010 by

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This is true love. You think this happens every day? – Wesley “The Princess Bride” Basketball Reference is a big part of my life. Some one asks a question about basketball and it allows me to find answer 95% of the time.  All the data from 1986 to now in one convenient searchable database. Add […]

## The Rookie Year Week 2: The Talented Mr. Fields

November 12, 2010 by

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Tom Ripley: I always thought it would be better, to be a fake somebody… than a real nobody. -The Talented Mr.Ripley Brace yourself gentle readers.   It’s weird. 140 posts in 135 days and somehow I’ve feel like I’ve been neglecting you. Let’s try to change that by talking about rookies. The theme for rookies […]

## Fanservice:Build Picks for 11/11 to 11/16

November 11, 2010 by

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At the request of my readers, I’m just leaving this here: Picks 11/11 to 11/16 Hteam Rteam Date Win % Home Team Prediction GSW CHI 11/11/2010 56% WW BOS MIA 11/11/2010 53% WW LAL DEN 11/11/2010 77% W UTA ATL 11/12/2010 60% W HOU IND 11/12/2010 76% W TOR ORL 11/12/2010 31% L CHA WAS […]

## NBA Now Rankings Week #2 (including updated WP thru 11/09) and a Smackdown update

November 10, 2010 by

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Time for Week number 2. Still on my wife’s computer so my productivity has taken a hit. It’s almost like the universe has it in for basic logic.   The universe apparently doesn’t want you to have my rankings in a timely manner, complain to your local deity. You know the drill. Read the Basics […]

## Rerun: Why T-Mac was worth another shot

November 9, 2010 by

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Crazy busy today so I decided to re-run a piece I did on 7/27/2010. Can I call em or what? Back tomorrow with new stuff . I also did a podcast which Andres will have up at some point. Over the last few days there has been much ado about Tracy McGrady and where and […]

November 7, 2010 by

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“I came out of Bataan and I shall return”-Douglas MacArthur on arriving in Australia in 1942 One of the interesting side effects of changing jobs is losing my laptop. I turned it in on Friday and since then I’ve felt like I’m missing an arm. I’ve been working on my wife’s laptop (which is a […]

## Gimme the Rock Part 4:Jacks of all Trades

November 6, 2010 by

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“Jack of all trades, master of none, though oftentimes better than master of one” – common I know it took me a while to get to this piece. I’ve been a little preoccupied.       Over the last few days I’ve been working on my brand new series . It’s called gimme the rock […]

## The Last Day

November 6, 2010 by

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It’s about people. I don’t want to talk basketball right now. Not today. At least not directly. I’ll just say, today I get Lebron James. You see, after six years a month and about ten days, today was my last day with Johnson & Johnson. I am leaving because an opportunity presented that I couldn’t […]

## Around the WOW week 2 (Old Testament Style)

November 5, 2010 by

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“In the beginning God created the heavens and the earth. 2 Now the earth was formless and empty, darkness was over the surface of the deep, and the Spirit of God was hovering over the waters.And God said, “Let there be light,” and there was light. 4 God saw that the light was good, and […]

## The Rookie Year Week 1: Accounting for the perils of small sample sizes

November 4, 2010 by

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“The Road goes ever on and on Down from the door where it began. Now far ahead the Road has gone, And I must follow, if I can, Pursuing it with eager feet, Until it joins some larger way Where many paths and errands meet. And whither then? I cannot say.” -Bilbo Baggins ,The Lord […]

## Fanservice (with more Bobo)

November 3, 2010 by

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My last post, in which I reviewed the smackdown picks (from the Wages of Wins Network 2011 NBA Super Stat Geek Smackdown and commenters across the web)  and ranked them, generated some interesting questions and some good requests. We’re all about the fanservice at Arturo’s Silly little Stats (particularly when we need a short post […]

## Bobo strikes back (Tracking the Predictions week 1)

November 2, 2010 by

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Why should I refuse a good dinner simply because I don’t understand the digestive processes involved?-Oliver Heaviside (1850-1925), when criticized for his daring use of operators before they could be justified formally Yesterday, I introduced one of my regular season weekly features, The NBA Now Rankings Week #1. Today we introduce another new feature: Bobo […]

## Short Post with some links and updated rankings

November 1, 2010 by

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Hey, don’t look now, but the Automated Wins Produced site is updated with 2001 thru 2005 numbers and 2011 numbers. Oh and the Godfather of WOW posted his handcrafted review of 2009-2010 Let it be noted that Arturo beat the Machine But even though I gave you a handcrafted version of the rankings earlier today […]

## NBA Now Rankings Week #1 (including updated WP thru 10/31)

November 1, 2010 by

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Now that the season is underway and we have a little bit of data, I decided to unveil what I hope will be a running feature for this blog,  ranking all the teams based on their performance.   Fairly soon we will have the Automated Wins Produced site for 2010-2011 (and we can say this […]